Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 3.058141e-05 3.642958e-05 0.000043 0.000050 0.000058 0.000067 0.000077
2025-03-09 2.198339e-05 2.916859e-05 0.000038 0.000048 0.000060 0.000074 0.000091
2025-03-16 1.661166e-05 2.432376e-05 0.000034 0.000046 0.000062 0.000080 0.000103
2025-03-23 1.305294e-05 2.096660e-05 0.000031 0.000046 0.000064 0.000086 0.000115
2025-03-30 1.020754e-05 1.799389e-05 0.000029 0.000044 0.000065 0.000091 0.000126
2025-04-06 7.807780e-06 1.518475e-05 0.000026 0.000042 0.000065 0.000094 0.000134
2025-04-13 5.601574e-06 1.221174e-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000062 0.000094 0.000137
2025-04-20 4.282806e-06 1.040210e-05 0.000021 0.000037 0.000062 0.000096 0.000145
2025-04-27 3.434074e-06 9.234891e-06 0.000020 0.000037 0.000064 0.000101 0.000154
2025-05-04 2.914226e-06 8.580505e-06 0.000019 0.000038 0.000066 0.000107 0.000167
2025-05-11 2.775762e-06 8.684891e-06 0.000020 0.000040 0.000072 0.000118 0.000186
2025-05-18 2.440293e-06 8.284120e-06 0.000020 0.000041 0.000076 0.000126 0.000200
2025-05-25 1.543583e-06 6.445686e-06 0.000017 0.000038 0.000074 0.000127 0.000207
2025-06-01 9.887360e-07 5.167130e-06 0.000015 0.000037 0.000073 0.000130 0.000217
2025-06-08 6.335071e-07 4.224892e-06 0.000014 0.000035 0.000074 0.000134 0.000229
2025-06-15 4.109418e-07 3.545120e-06 0.000013 0.000035 0.000075 0.000140 0.000243
2025-06-22 2.444454e-07 2.896584e-06 0.000012 0.000034 0.000076 0.000144 0.000255
2025-06-29 1.251940e-07 2.265044e-06 0.000011 0.000032 0.000075 0.000146 0.000264
2025-07-06 4.505391e-08 1.605287e-06 0.000009 0.000029 0.000072 0.000145 0.000267
2025-07-13 1.643939e-08 1.236718e-06 0.000008 0.000028 0.000071 0.000147 0.000276
2025-07-20 5.846729e-09 1.013966e-06 0.000007 0.000028 0.000073 0.000153 0.000290
2025-07-27 2.236759e-09 8.962155e-07 0.000007 0.000028 0.000076 0.000161 0.000308
2025-08-03 1.664464e-09 9.235364e-07 0.000008 0.000030 0.000082 0.000175 0.000337